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Musk says Grok 5 has 10% chance of achieving AGI glory
ETtech | October 20, 2025 2:00 AM CST

Synopsis

Musk also said that Grok is evolving rapidly and aims to eliminate all heuristics within four to six weeks. 'Heuristics’ refers to rule-based shortcuts or algorithms that a system uses to make decisions. The update is expected to help new users and smaller accounts gain visibility for their posts.

Serial entrepreneur Elon Musk says that the probability of xAI’s chatbot Grok 5 attaining artificial general intelligence (AGI) is now at 10% and rising.


In a series of tweets, he added that Grok is evolving rapidly and aims to eliminate all heuristics within four to six weeks. The AI will process more than 100 million posts and videos daily to match users with content they are most likely to engage with, Musk said.


In this context, `heuristics’ refers to rule-based shortcuts or algorithms that a system uses to make decisions. The move marks a shift in the recommendation system on the Musk-led microblogging platform X (formerly Twitter).

The update is expected to help new users and smaller accounts gain visibility for their posts. Users will also be able to adjust their feeds temporarily or permanently by interacting with Grok.

Musk suggested that users can maximise reach by engaging with Grok as if they were “texting a smart human you’ve never met,” noting that vague posts are unlikely to gain traction.

The development follows the launch of Grok 5, which Musk said will be AGI or something indistinguishable from it.

Musk launched xAI in July 2023 as an alternative to OpenAI's ChatGPT.

According to the Financial Times, xAI is working on developing “world models”. These are advanced AI systems that can navigate and design physical environments. These models aim to take AI beyond large language models like Grok and ChatGPT (trained on text), by training on video and data from robots, among others (added).

Musk recently reiterated a goal he set last year, saying xAI will release a “great AI-generated game before the end of next year.”

Last month, xAI launched its new image and video generation model, Grok Imagine, on social media platform X and offered it free to users.

While current video generation models, like OpenAI’s Sora, produce videos by predicting patterns from training data, world models represent a significant leap forward. They would have a real-time, causal understanding of physics and how objects interact in different environments.


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