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Oracle stock today: why Oracle is surging — is it the next $1 trillion giant? Larry Ellison’s fortune plunges $24B, analysts eye ORCL $280
Global Desk | October 25, 2025 2:20 AM CST

Synopsis

Oracle stock is climbing again. Investors are watching closely. On October 24, 2025, ORCL shares rose to $285.72, up 2% for the day. The stock moved between $282.80 and $287.19 with heavy trading of 1.95 million shares. This surge follows recent gains after a market dip. Strategic AI partnerships and new client deals are driving excitement. Analysts say Oracle could continue growing. Momentum is building for this tech giant.

Oracle stock jumps 2% to $285.72 today as AI deals and new client wins boost investor confidence, signaling potential long-term growth for tech giant ORCL.
Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is making headlines as its stock continues to draw investor attention. On October 24, 2025, Oracle shares traded at $285.72, marking a notable 2% gain from the previous close. This uptick has sparked renewed optimism among traders and analysts alike.

The stock opened at $285.80 and fluctuated throughout the day, reaching a high of $287.19 and a low of $282.80. Trading volume for the day was approximately 1.95 million shares, reflecting strong market participation. Investors are closely watching to see if this momentum will continue in the coming days.

Oracle’s performance has been particularly impressive considering it was recently about 19% below its 52-week high of $345.72, achieved earlier in September 2025. Analysts are pointing out that the recent recovery may signal a return of investor confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects.


The stock has been on a significant rally this year, driven largely by Oracle’s massive $300 billion deal with OpenAI, which has significantly boosted Oracle’s cloud business and stock performance. Oracle's shares surged sharply in recent months, including a 36% one-day jump linked to the OpenAI deal, making it one of the biggest stock increases since 1992.

This places Oracle as one of the most valuable companies globally, ranked around 13th or 14th by market cap. Although Oracle has experienced a roughly 90% rally driven primarily by its deals with OpenAI and strategic positioning in the AI and cloud sectors, it has not yet officially reached the $1 trillion market cap club where companies like Nvidia and Apple reside. However, it is on track and continues to gain value as it expands its business and market influence in AI and cloud technology.

Despite this strong rally, there are concerns among analysts about the sustainability of Oracle's growth, mainly because a large portion of its future revenue commitments comes from a single client—OpenAI. The remaining performance obligations (RPO) have soared to $455 billion, a 359% increase year-over-year, with the bulk linked to this deal. Some analysts warn that OpenAI would need to generate more than $300 billion in revenue to justify the scale of its commitments to Oracle, raising bubble concerns in the AI investment space.

Larry Ellison, co-founder and chairman of Oracle, experienced a significant decline in his net worth due to a sharp drop in Oracle's stock price in October 2025. The stock slump wiped out about $24 billion from Ellison's fortune, representing a roughly 6.3% decrease. This drop occurred despite Oracle executives presenting optimistic revenue growth forecasts averaging 31% annually over the next five years, with earnings per share projected to rise significantly by fiscal 2030.

Ellison's wealth is closely tied to Oracle's stock since he holds approximately 41% of its shares. Earlier in 2025, after Oracle's record-breaking stock surge driven by AI-related deals, especially a monumental $300 billion cloud computing contract with OpenAI, Ellison briefly became the richest person globally with a net worth exceeding $393 billion. However, following the peak, investor skepticism about the sustainability of such massive contracts and incomplete details on Oracle's capital expenditure plans led to profit-taking and a subsequent fall in the stock price.

Oracle's shares fell about 7% on the day that caused Ellison's $24 billion wealth wipeout. Despite this setback, analysts remain optimistic, updating price targets higher in the $350-$400 range, reflecting confidence in Oracle’s long-term AI-driven cloud growth. Ellison remains the second-richest person globally, trailing Elon Musk, who continues to lead with a net worth nearing $486 billion.

Despite the optimism, Oracle faces challenges from broader market fluctuations. Short-term volatility in tech stocks has impacted many investors’ portfolios, including those of top executives. Monitoring these trends will be key for anyone invested in ORCL.

What is driving Oracle’s recent stock surge?

Oracle's recent climb is fueled by a combination of strategic deals, strong earnings, and AI partnerships. Investors are optimistic about the company's growth prospects.

Key deals and events that triggered Oracle's 90% stock rally in 2025:

  • Early 2025: Oracle aggressively positions itself in the AI and cloud infrastructure space, laying groundwork for big contract wins.
  • September 9-10, 2025: Oracle announces major multi-billion-dollar AI cloud contracts with leading AI companies including OpenAI, Meta, Nvidia, AMD, and Musk’s xAI. This led to a 36% one-day stock rally, marking Oracle's biggest single-day gain since 1992. Oracle revealed its Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) soared 359% year-over-year to about $455 billion, reflecting heavy future revenue backlog driven by AI workloads.
  • September 10, 2025: OpenAI signs a landmark $300 billion cloud computing deal with Oracle for five years, described as one of the largest cloud contracts ever. This deal significantly contributed to the surge in Oracle's share price and market cap nearing $1 trillion.
  • Throughout September 2025: Oracle continues to announce expansions and investments in AI data centers, along with projections of cloud revenue skyrocketing from $18 billion in 2025 to an expected $144 billion by 2030. This optimism fueled substantial investor confidence.
  • October 2025: Oracle hosts a major AI World conference highlighting their cloud infrastructure growth as a leader in AI compute services, further cementing expectations for ongoing growth and driving investor enthusiasm.
  • Larry Ellison's net worth surges during this period, briefly making him the richest person in the world due to Oracle's stock gains.
Overall, the rally was largely driven by Oracle’s strategic AI and cloud infrastructure contracts, especially the massive $300 billion OpenAI deal, and its aggressive expansion and revenue projections tied to AI workloads.

How big is Oracle in the market?

Oracle is one of the largest tech companies in the world. Its market capitalization is currently around $798 billion, placing it among the top 15 most valuable companies globally.

Here is a comparison of valuation multiples for Oracle, Nvidia, and Apple as of October 2025:

CompanyPrice (USD)Market Cap (USD Trillions)Earnings Per Share (EPS)Price to Earnings (P/E) RatioForward Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio (estimated)
Oracle283.2~0.79 trillion4.3165.71~13 (based on 2026 revenue forecasts)
Nvidia185.32~4.51 trillion3.5252.65Not explicitly stated, but generally high due to AI growth premium
Apple260.07~3.86 trillion7.2635.82Not explicitly stated, typically lower than pure AI plays like Nvidia
Oracle's P/E ratio at around 65.7 is higher than Nvidia's 52.7 and notably above Apple's 35.8, reflecting investor expectations of rapid AI-driven growth and high future revenues. Oracle’s forward price-to-sales ratio is roughly 13 based on expected 2026 revenues hitting $67 billion and a market cap aiming at $1 trillion, signaling a high valuation premium driven by AI cloud infrastructure prospects.

Nvidia carries a slightly lower P/E but commands the largest market cap due to its leadership in AI chip manufacturing, while Apple, with the largest EPS, trades at a more moderate valuation, reflecting its more diversified revenue base and mature business model.

Some quick facts about Oracle’s market presence:

  • Close to $800 billion in market value, just shy of the $1 trillion mark.
  • Among the top 15 companies globally by valuation.
  • Strong presence in cloud computing, AI, and enterprise software.
While Oracle has yet to join the $1 trillion club like Apple and Nvidia, experts suggest it could reach this milestone if growth continues at the current pace.

How has Larry Ellison’s fortune been affected?

Larry Ellison, Oracle’s co-founder and executive chairman, has seen significant changes in his net worth due to stock movements.

Key points about Ellison’s financial impact:

  • A recent 7% drop in Oracle stock caused a $24 billion decline in his fortune.
  • This represents a 6.3% decrease in his personal wealth.
  • Despite the drop, Ellison remains one of the wealthiest individuals in tech.
This fluctuation highlights how stock market changes can impact even the richest investors. Ellison’s fortune is tied closely to Oracle’s performance, making each market movement important for his wealth.

What role is AI playing in Oracle’s growth?

Oracle’s collaboration with AI companies is central to its growth strategy. The Stargate project, in particular, has drawn significant attention.

Here’s what makes it important:

  • New AI data centers: Oracle is building state-of-the-art facilities for AI workloads.
  • Sustainable energy use: The data centers are powered by natural gas microgrids, reflecting a push toward green energy.
  • Enhanced AI services: These partnerships allow Oracle to expand offerings for enterprise clients and compete with other tech giants.
Investors see these initiatives as a sign that Oracle is positioning itself for long-term growth in the fast-evolving AI sector.

What are analysts saying about Oracle stock?

Oracle's stock has a consensus price target around $300 and above by several analysts in 2025, reflecting strong investor confidence in its AI-driven growth and cloud infrastructure expansion. For example, Bank of America analysts raised their price target to $368 following Oracle's Q1 2026 earnings and the huge $300 billion OpenAI deal. Other sources suggest that Oracle's stock could realistically trade well above $300 by the end of 2025 due to robust cloud revenue growth, increasing Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), and strategic positioning as a leader in AI infrastructure.

Despite some short-term skepticism and concerns about capital expenditures needed for expansion, analysts generally view Oracle as well-positioned for significant upside. Price targets in the $300 to $380 range reflect expectations that Oracle's AI platform and cloud services will drive continued revenue and earnings acceleration beyond current levels.

Points to note:

  • Price targets for Oracle stock are as high as $340 in some forecasts.
  • Growth is expected from new client acquisitions and expanded AI infrastructure.
  • Analysts believe that Oracle could join the $1 trillion valuation club within the next year if trends continue.
This outlook has helped sustain investor confidence, even after recent market drops and fluctuations in Ellison’s net worth.

What does the future hold for Oracle investors?

Oracle’s future looks promising but is not without challenges. The company’s focus on AI, cloud services, and strategic partnerships makes it a compelling option for long-term investors.

Investors should keep an eye on:

  • Stock performance trends over the next few quarters.
  • Impact of AI and cloud deals on revenue and profitability.
  • Global tech market conditions, which could affect Oracle’s position.
While short-term volatility may continue, Oracle’s long-term growth story remains strong, making it a stock worth monitoring closely.

  • Current price: $285.72
  • Daily change: +2.00%
  • 52-week high: $345.72
  • Market capitalization: $798 billion
  • Intraday volume: 1.95 million shares
  • Larry Ellison’s net worth impact: - $24 billion
Oracle’s recent moves show a mix of market momentum, AI innovation, and strategic growth. Investors are watching closely as the company navigates the evolving tech landscape.


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