India needs a high-quality carbon market to enable it to achieve global competitiveness with sustainability at the population scale. The logic is straightforward: cap emissions with allowances that decline on a predictable schedule, measure them with appropriate measurement, reporting and verification (MRV), and anchor the system in an independent regulator. Do that, and Indian firms can sell into demanding markets without carbon tariffs, finance cheaper decarbonisation at home, and convert compliance into orders for cleaner power, materials and services.
Carbon markets are now mainstream industrial policy.
EU's emissions trading system (ETS) has matured into a credible engine of price and predictability, with tighter caps, broader auctioning and a market stability reserve that prevents collapses during slowdowns and curbs spikes when energy markets tighten.
China chose a growth-aligned path: pilot projects first, then a national power-sector market using intensity benchmarks instead of absolute caps. Each year, its MRV improves, and coverage widens.
Europe's carbon border mechanism (CBM) serves as both a warning and an invitation: exporters with a credible, verifiable domestic carbon price can avoid the extra charge at the border.
Britain, South Korea, California and parts of Canada are aligned with variants of this logic. For Indian manufacturers embedded in global supply chains, a trusted domestic market is the best route to protect access, reduce policy risk and win buyers that are auditing embedded emissions.
Designing India's market is about competitiveness, not just compliance.
Create a declining cap with allowances that fall on a transparent, multi- year glide path. Trade-exposed sectors can receive benchmarked free allocations at the outset, but auctions should expand predictably, and the cap must align with growth and climate goals. Revenues from auctions should be recycled into industrial decarbonisation.
India should mandate auditable digital reporting for Scope 1 emissions in covered sectors, and phase-in key Scope 2 electricity consumption, without cumbersome reporting that burdens smaller firms.
Plant-level meters and data loggers, verifiers accredited to national standards, automated cross- checks with production and fuel purchases, and a single national registry with APIs to utilities will let auditors reconcile numbers quickly and consistently. The test is simple: can a verifier match emissions to energy input and output data with minimal dispute?
Create an independent regulator with statutory authority over cap setting, allocation rules, auctions, registries, penalties and any offset approvals. It must publish forward schedules, operate stability tools to avoid price spikes or collapses, and enforce penalties that are swift and certain. Insulation from day-to-day politics, coupled with transparent accountability to Parliament, will keep market confidence intact through cycles.
India is not starting from zero.
Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme has created a culture of tradable performance in industry.
Renewable energy certificates (RECs) support green procurement.
Amendments to Energy Conservation Act and Carbon Credit Trading Scheme 2023 have laid the legal groundwork for a national market.
Sector missions in RE and green hydrogen, and reforms that make 24x7 clean power contracting more feasible, mean factories and data centres already have solutions.
Two design choices will lift competitiveness. Roll out by sector: power, steel, cement and fertiliser first. Add refining and chemicals as MRV matures. That creates buyers and sellers, and tight learning loops. And treat offsets as a narrow safety valve, not a backdoor.
Only high-quality domestic credits that are real, additional and durable should count, and only for a modest share of obligations; land-use projects must carry buffers for reversal risk and strict rules against leakage or double counting. Article 6 compatibility will matter for exporters; auditors abroad will check our ledgers.
For firms, benefits are concrete. A known, steadily rising carbon price allows CFOs to rank abatement options. Suppliers that beat benchmarks can monetise over-performance by selling allowances. Exporters can document embedded emissions and claim equivalence with foreign border measures.
Financiers will finance retrofits at lower cost when project cash flows are backed by an enforceable price and a credible registry. GoI can accelerate adoption by acting as an early buyer of low-carbon materials and services, turning compliance into order books.
Over time, the same logic can extend to other scarce resources that define the Green Frontier: basin-level water caps with tradable permits, verified credits for green cover, and honest, independent regulation to price scarcity and find the lowest-cost path.
If we act now, Indian companies will compete better, our supply chains will decarbonise faster at home, and the country will move decisively towards the Green Frontier - pursuing a growth trajectory that is globally competitive and durably sustainable.
Carbon markets are now mainstream industrial policy.
EU's emissions trading system (ETS) has matured into a credible engine of price and predictability, with tighter caps, broader auctioning and a market stability reserve that prevents collapses during slowdowns and curbs spikes when energy markets tighten.
China chose a growth-aligned path: pilot projects first, then a national power-sector market using intensity benchmarks instead of absolute caps. Each year, its MRV improves, and coverage widens.
Europe's carbon border mechanism (CBM) serves as both a warning and an invitation: exporters with a credible, verifiable domestic carbon price can avoid the extra charge at the border.
Britain, South Korea, California and parts of Canada are aligned with variants of this logic. For Indian manufacturers embedded in global supply chains, a trusted domestic market is the best route to protect access, reduce policy risk and win buyers that are auditing embedded emissions.
Designing India's market is about competitiveness, not just compliance.
Create a declining cap with allowances that fall on a transparent, multi- year glide path. Trade-exposed sectors can receive benchmarked free allocations at the outset, but auctions should expand predictably, and the cap must align with growth and climate goals. Revenues from auctions should be recycled into industrial decarbonisation.
India should mandate auditable digital reporting for Scope 1 emissions in covered sectors, and phase-in key Scope 2 electricity consumption, without cumbersome reporting that burdens smaller firms.
Plant-level meters and data loggers, verifiers accredited to national standards, automated cross- checks with production and fuel purchases, and a single national registry with APIs to utilities will let auditors reconcile numbers quickly and consistently. The test is simple: can a verifier match emissions to energy input and output data with minimal dispute?
Create an independent regulator with statutory authority over cap setting, allocation rules, auctions, registries, penalties and any offset approvals. It must publish forward schedules, operate stability tools to avoid price spikes or collapses, and enforce penalties that are swift and certain. Insulation from day-to-day politics, coupled with transparent accountability to Parliament, will keep market confidence intact through cycles.
India is not starting from zero.
Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme has created a culture of tradable performance in industry.
Renewable energy certificates (RECs) support green procurement.
Amendments to Energy Conservation Act and Carbon Credit Trading Scheme 2023 have laid the legal groundwork for a national market.
Sector missions in RE and green hydrogen, and reforms that make 24x7 clean power contracting more feasible, mean factories and data centres already have solutions.
Two design choices will lift competitiveness. Roll out by sector: power, steel, cement and fertiliser first. Add refining and chemicals as MRV matures. That creates buyers and sellers, and tight learning loops. And treat offsets as a narrow safety valve, not a backdoor.
Only high-quality domestic credits that are real, additional and durable should count, and only for a modest share of obligations; land-use projects must carry buffers for reversal risk and strict rules against leakage or double counting. Article 6 compatibility will matter for exporters; auditors abroad will check our ledgers.
For firms, benefits are concrete. A known, steadily rising carbon price allows CFOs to rank abatement options. Suppliers that beat benchmarks can monetise over-performance by selling allowances. Exporters can document embedded emissions and claim equivalence with foreign border measures.
Financiers will finance retrofits at lower cost when project cash flows are backed by an enforceable price and a credible registry. GoI can accelerate adoption by acting as an early buyer of low-carbon materials and services, turning compliance into order books.
Over time, the same logic can extend to other scarce resources that define the Green Frontier: basin-level water caps with tradable permits, verified credits for green cover, and honest, independent regulation to price scarcity and find the lowest-cost path.
If we act now, Indian companies will compete better, our supply chains will decarbonise faster at home, and the country will move decisively towards the Green Frontier - pursuing a growth trajectory that is globally competitive and durably sustainable.
(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)
Jayant Sinha
Chairman, standing committee on finance in Parliament