Keir Starmer has, on the whole, been a pretty underwhelming Prime Minister. That's not a controversial statement anymore - it's practically small talk. The Westminster whisper now isn't if he goes, but when. And yet politics has a funny way of humiliating those who think they've already written the ending. A week, as Harold Wilson once warned, is a long time in politics - and I'm not naïve enough to believe Starmer couldn't somehow stagger on until the next General Election.
The next real reckoning comes with the local elections in May. They'll be framed as a mid-term verdict on Starmer's leadership, and if Labour are thrashed as badly as Nigel Farage gleefully predicts, then yes, the knives will be out in earnest. Party unity will evaporate, briefings will fly, and the familiar Labour tradition of circular firing squads will resume at speed.
But here's where I depart from the fashionable consensus: I'm not rooting for Starmer to be shoved out of the door.
Not because he's doing a good job - he isn't - but because replacing him with another identikit Labour MP won't magically fix the country. Britain doesn't suffer from a shortage of leaders: it suffers from a shortage of competence and courage. Swapping the person at the top every time things go wrong doesn't create stability - it destroys it.
This constant appetite for political beheadings has become a national tic. Prime Ministers are now treated like disposable razors: blunt after six months, tossed away, replaced with something equally flimsy. And every time we do it, we pretend this change will finally make things better.
Starmer has made some glaring errors. Handing Peter Mandelson a plum ambassadorial role was a spectacular misjudgement, a reminder that Labour's addiction to recycled powerbrokers remains untreated. And his instinctive love of the U-turn has made him look weak.
Even Kemi Badenoch landed a clean blow when she accused him of surrounding himself with what she described as paedophile apologists - a charge he handled with all the decisiveness of a man hoping the room would change the subject for him.
But here's the uncomfortable truth: how exactly does the country improve if we keep tearing down leaders we democratically voted in before they've even finished warming the chair?
The General Election is when the public gets to pass judgement - not X, not focus groups, not rival MPs with leadership fantasies. When that election comes, voters can kick this government out if they want to. And they probably will.
But until then, demanding a new Prime Minister every time the polls dip or a scandal breaks isn't strength, it's chaos. And Britain has had quite enough of that already.
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