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India’s growth is structural, not cyclical
ET CONTRIBUTORS | March 3, 2026 8:57 PM CST

Synopsis

India's economy is growing through investment and reforms, not just stimulus. Public spending on infrastructure is rising, boosting competitiveness. Tax stability and fewer regulations encourage investors. Reforms are being implemented, with a focus on efficient project delivery. Labour laws are being simplified to support manufacturing. Faster dispute resolution is also key.

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India’s economic expansion is increasingly investment-led, reform-backed, and policy-supported, rather than dependent on short-term fiscal stimulus, or cyclical consumption surges. One of the clearest indicators of this shift is the steady rise in public capital expenditure.

Central government capex has increased from roughly ₹4.4 lakh cr in FY19 to over ₹11 lakh cr in FY25. This sustained emphasis on physical and digital infrastructure may not always command public attention, but it strengthens long-term competitiveness. Lower logistics costs, improved connectivity, and enhanced productivity create multiplier effects that extend well beyond a single budget cycle.

Equally significant has been emphasis on taxation stability and fiscal discipline. Corporate tax rationalisation, improved compliance systems and reduced retrospective uncertainties have strengthened investor confidence. For businesses, predictability is often more valuable than incentives. The ability to plan investments over a 5-10-year horizon without fear of abrupt policy shifts is a powerful growth enabler.


However, structural reform must be matched by execution efficiency. While allocations have risen and intent is clear, delays in project implementation, procedural approvals, and inter-agency coordination continue to dilute economic multipliers. India’s policy ambition is now globally competitive. The next leap will come from accelerating delivery mechanisms at the ground level.

Another transformative, though less visible, reform has been the systematic rationalisation of outdated laws and compliances. More than 1,600 obsolete laws have been repealed and over 35,000 compliances eliminated. This exercise is not administrative tidying. It directly reduces transaction costs and regulatory friction.

For decades, enterprises, particularly MSMEs, expended disproportionate time navigating procedural obligations rather than scaling operations. The gradual shift toward digitisation, faceless processes and trust-based governance represents an important institutional evolution.

Yet, legal reform alone is insufficient if administrative culture remains unchanged. Regulatory transformation ultimately requires a mindset shift—from control to facilitation. The speed at which institutions internalise this approach will significantly influence India’s ease of doing business in practice, not merely on paper.

Labour reform has similarly been central to India’s medium-term economic aspirations. Consolidation of over 40 central labour laws into four Labour Codes seeks to balance worker protection with industrial flexibility. As India aims to increase manufacturing’s share of GDP from its current 15-16%, clarity and predictability in labour regimes become indispensable.

Global capital does not shy away from regulation. It hesitates in the face of uncertainty. Effective and uniform state-level implementation will determine whether these reforms translate into employment generation and large-scale manufacturing expansion.

There is also a dimension of development that receives less attention but carries significant economic weight, dispute resolution. Infrastructure is commonly measured in kilometres of highways or megawatts of installed capacity, yet legal infrastructure is equally vital. Significant capital remains locked in prolonged litigation and arbitration, particularly in infrastructure and public procurement. Delayed dispute resolution constrains liquidity, burdens balance sheets and deters reinvestment.

Efficient institutional arbitration offers speed, expertise and predictability, attributes that global investors assess alongside tax policy and regulatory stability. While judicial reforms and commercial courts have strengthened the ecosystem, reducing delays and encouraging greater use of institutional arbitration remain critical to unlocking capital and enhancing investor confidence.

Ultimately, what will sustain India’s growth momentum is continuity and credibility. Investors can navigate complex regulatory frameworks and competitive tax regimes, but unpredictability undermines confidence. Stable policies, consistent reform direction and institutional integrity form the bedrock of long-term economic expansion.

Growth, however, must not be viewed solely through the prism of GDP statistics. The true test of structural development lies in its translation into tangible outcomes--jobs created, enterprises scaled, disputes resolved efficiently, and opportunities broadened. A strong foundation has been laid. The imperative now is to ensure that execution keeps pace with ambition, converting structural reform into sustained prosperity.

(The writer is former DG, FICCI)
(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)


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