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The southwest monsoon is set to intensify across large parts of India over the next several days, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting widespread rainfall, extremely heavy downpours in parts of western India, and an elevated flash flood risk in several Himalayan districts. The latest All India Weather Summary and Forecast Bulletin indicates that a combination of an active monsoon trough, a Western Disturbance and favourable upper-air conditions will keep rainfall activity vigorous across much of the country through July 27.

Among the most significant concerns is the forecast for extremely heavy rainfall over parts of Gujarat, Konkan and Goa, Marathwada and East Rajasthan during the next few days. Gujarat Region and Konkan & Goa are expected to receive the heaviest spells on July 22 and 23, while Marathwada is likely to experience extremely heavy rainfall on July 23. East Rajasthan is forecast to witness the most intense rainfall on July 24, raising concerns over urban flooding, overflowing rivers and transport disruptions.

The IMD has also warned of heavy to very heavy rainfall over a wide swathe of central and northern India. States expected to receive intense rainfall include Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha and Jammu & Kashmir. Several of these regions are likely to continue receiving heavy rain for multiple consecutive days, increasing the possibility of waterlogging, landslides and flooding in vulnerable areas.


Weather conditions are expected to remain highly active over northwest India as fairly widespread to widespread rainfall continues over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Heavy rainfall has been forecast almost throughout the forecast period for Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, while Punjab, Haryana and Delhi are expected to witness spells of heavy rain on multiple days. West and East Uttar Pradesh are also likely to receive significant rainfall, particularly around July 22–24 and again toward the end of the forecast period.

Central India is also expected to remain under the influence of a vigorous monsoon. Widespread rainfall is likely over both East and West Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha, with isolated very heavy rainfall expected over Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Vidarbha is forecast to experience particularly intense rainfall during the early part of the forecast period.

Eastern India will continue to remain wet as Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim are expected to receive widespread rainfall. Odisha is likely to witness isolated very heavy rainfall on July 22, while Bihar, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal are also expected to experience heavy rainfall over the coming days.

Across Northeast India, monsoon activity is expected to remain active over Assam & Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. Heavy rainfall is likely across several northeastern states, particularly Assam & Meghalaya, where heavy rain has been forecast almost every day during the outlook period.

In western India, the wet spell is expected to dominate Gujarat Region, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada. While Konkan & Goa and Gujarat are forecast to receive repeated spells of heavy rainfall, Saurashtra & Kutch could also experience very heavy rain later in the week. These conditions may significantly affect road transport and low-lying areas, especially where soils are already saturated from previous rainfall.

Southern India is expected to experience comparatively lighter but persistent monsoon activity. Telangana is likely to receive isolated heavy rainfall on July 22, while Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu and parts of Karnataka are expected to witness scattered showers accompanied by thunderstorms and gusty winds. Kerala is forecast to see rainfall activity increase from July 24 onwards.

The IMD has cautioned that heavy rainfall could trigger urban flooding, waterlogging, poor visibility, disruption of road traffic, damage to vulnerable structures, landslides in hilly terrain and inundation of agricultural fields. Residents have been advised to monitor local weather updates, avoid flood-prone areas whenever possible, check traffic conditions before travelling and follow instructions issued by local authorities as the active monsoon phase continues over large parts of India.