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The airline group on Wednesday forecast a profit of about HKD6 billion to HKD6.5 billion (US$765.39 million to $829.12 million) for the six months ended June 30, up from HKD3.7 billion in the same period a year earlier.

The results include a one-time gain of about HKD1.4 billion from the ⁠partial dilution of its stake in Air China.

Stripping out the one-off item, underlying performance was driven by solid demand across both its passenger and cargo operations, the airline said.

The results come as the broader aviation industry grapples with a severe fuel cost shock. The International Air Transport Association forecast in June that airlines’ fuel bills would surge to about $350 billion this year from $252 billion in 2025, with jet fuel prices averaging $152 per barrel, almost 70% above 2025 levels, a headwind Cathay acknowledged even as it reported stronger earnings.

Shares of the Hong Kong-listed carrier jumped more than 3% in the afternoon session after being slightly lower in the morning, as the stronger profit outlook beat some analysts’ forecasts. HSBC had forecast Cathay Pacific would report HKD5.1 billion in first-half profit, according to a ‌recent note.

Cathay ⁠Cargo carried 9% more cargo in June compared with a year earlier, with total tonnage in the first half of the year also up 9%.

Chief Customer and Commercial Officer Lavinia Lau said semiconductor and pharmaceutical shipments were the main growth drivers, supporting its specialist Cathay Expert and Cathay Pharma product lines. Looking ahead, Lau said the group would monitor the potential impact on e-commerce flows from new customs duties on low-value imports ⁠into Europe.

On the passenger side, Cathay Pacific carried 12% more passengers in June year-on-year, with available seat kilometres rising 6%. For the first half of the year, passenger numbers were up 17%.

Load factors held up despite June historically being a softer month, partially helped by rerouted traffic through ⁠Hong Kong amid the ongoing Middle East conflict. Demand in premium cabins also remained robust, driven by strong corporate and premium leisure travel.

“The outlook for the summer peak remains encouraging, particularly across our long-haul network,” Lau said.

Budget unit HK Express was a softer ⁠spot, with the number of passengers down 4% in June after the carrier trimmed capacity to offset higher fuel costs. Bookings for July are running ahead of last year, Lau said.

The group’s full interim results are expected to be published in August.

Cathay Pacific ‌Airways secured the third place in Skytrax’s ranking of the world’s best airlines in 2025, behind Qatar Airways and Singapore Airlines.