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'Weak, Disorganised Nation' Pakistan May 1st Use Nuclear Weapons: Geopolitical Analyst Professor Jiang Xueqin's Shocking Guess; Worrying Signs For India?
24htopnews | August 12, 2026 7:08 PM CST

Geopolitical analyst Professor Jiang Xueqin said Pakistan would be the most likely country to use nuclear weapons first if such a scenario arose. Speaking on Raj Shamani's podcast, Jiang cited what he described as Pakistan's weak institutions and internal instability. However, he stressed that the chances of nuclear weapons being used during our lifetimes were 'almost zero'.

Mumbai: Geopolitical analyst and academic Professor Jiang Xueqin triggered a debate online after suggesting that if any country were to use nuclear weapons first in a future conflict, Pakistan would be the most likely candidate, citing what he described as the country's internal instability and weak institutional controls. The remarks have sparked worrisome signs for India as we share the border with the nation and also strained relations.

Speaking on entrepreneur and YouTuber Raj Shamani's podcast, Jiang stressed that he believes the chances of nuclear weapons being used during our lifetimes are 'almost zero', pointing to what he called a global taboo against nuclear warfare. "I personally do not believe that nuclear weapons will be used in our lifetimes ever because there's a universal taboo against nuclear weapons," Jiang said during the discussion.

However, when asked which country might be most likely to use nuclear weapons first if such a scenario were to arise, Jiang named Pakistan, while also briefly mentioning India as part of a potential India-Pakistan conflict scenario.

'Weak, Disorganised Nation With Nuclear Weapons': Jiang On Pakistan


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