Top News

India has emerged as the fastest growing major economy, posting a 7.8% GDP growth amid the worst global economic challenges in over a decade. The past thirteen months tested economies worldwide with steep American tariffs, an oil shock, and supply chain disruptions, but India outpaced all in recovery and expansion.

The hurdles were particularly tough for India, given its nearly 90% crude oil import dependency and the strategic significance of the Strait of Hormuz for its energy and trade routes. Yet, India accelerated its growth from 6.9% a year ago to 7.8%, well above the Reserve Bank’s projection of 7% and surpassing growth rates of China at 4.3% and the US at 2.1%.

Key sectors drove this growth: manufacturing expanded by 9.2%, services by 10%, consumption increased 7.1%, and investment surged 11.9%. This balanced surge overturned the longstanding notion that India must choose between industrial and services growth, as both sectors grew robustly.

Foreign investment inflows reached $30.7 billion, the highest in at least fifteen years, with net inflows up 64%, signalling strong investor confidence and commitment to the Indian economy.

In contrast to past vulnerabilities, including the 1991 oil crisis and the ‘Fragile Five’ categorization in 2013, India is now the world’s fourth largest economy, closing fast on the third. Over 250 million Indians have risen out of multidimensional poverty, inflation remains controlled at 4.45% despite oil shocks, and foreign exchange reserves have doubled.

The government’s decisive policies, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, played a crucial role. Simplifying GST amid rising tariffs put money in Indians’ pockets, capital spending on infrastructure continued unabated, and trade agreements expanded export opportunities.

Decades of structural reforms helped sustain this performance. The inflation target is enshrined in law; the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code strengthened banks; GST unified the national market; welfare schemes directly reached millions through Jan Dhan, Aadhaar, and mobile technology; and initiatives like Make in India and Production Linked Incentives encouraged manufacturing growth.

Responding to critics, Prime Minister Modi emphasised the nation’s collective strength rather than personal credit for the growth achievement. He urged citizens to maintain momentum towards self-reliance and Atmanirbhar Bharat, aiming for a developed India by 2047, India’s centenary of independence.

Reforms continue with over 1,500 obsolete laws repealed and 40,000 compliances removed, improving ease of doing business. The Reserve Bank’s annual growth forecast of 6.7% may well be exceeded given the current quarter’s performance.

India has faced its harshest global economic test and emerged as the best-performing economy worldwide, defying pessimistic forecasts and showcasing resilient and sustained growth under strong leadership.