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Eight months into his term, US President Donald Trump appointed his close aide Sergio Gor as the new US ambassador to India, tasked with managing growing tensions in bilateral relations. However, critics are pointing fingers at Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, questioning whether his actions have undermined decades of trust between the two nations.

Targeting India’s Russia Policy

On August 8, following PM Modi’s social media post about his discussion with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Lindsey Graham publicly criticized India’s Russia policy. Despite efforts by Indian Ambassador Vinay Mohan Kwatra to clarify India’s stance, Graham persisted with his rhetoric, raising concerns about his agenda.

This is not Graham’s first controversial move. He had previously introduced a bill in the US Senate proposing duties of up to 500% on countries importing oil, gas, or uranium from Russia. While the bill did not pass, his statements suggested that countries relying on Russian energy should be “broken up,” with India singled out despite similar energy ties by China, Europe, and even the US itself.

Potential Impact on India-US Trade

Bilateral trade between India and the US reached $129.2 billion in 2024. Imposing additional duties of 25–50% on Indian goods could reduce trade by 7–10%, negatively impacting India’s GDP by around 1%, according to Bloomberg. Industries likely to be affected include diamonds and jewellery, textiles, and footwear. India’s diamond cutting and polishing sector, which produces over 90% of the world’s diamonds, faces potential relocation of business to China or the UAE. Analysts compare this scenario to Britain’s colonial-era strategy that damaged India’s textile industry.

Lindsey Graham’s Ties to the Arms Industry

Graham’s political career is closely connected to the US arms industry. In 2010, he advocated for a military strike on Iran and, despite claiming military service, worked as a military lawyer (JAG) rather than in combat. His major political donors include arms manufacturing companies, raising questions about the motivations behind his aggressive foreign policy stances.

India’s Strategic Options

The recent tensions have underscored the risks of over-dependence on the US economy. Analysts suggest that India should:

• Strengthen alliances and regional forums in Asia.

• Deepen economic relations with Russia and China.

• Expand trade partnerships with Europe, which is also seeking alternatives amid US pressure.

The role of Lindsey Graham has been viewed as a form of economic aggression against India. While debates continue on whether his actions stem from personal ambition or a broader US strategy, India has demonstrated resilience. Recent joint statements during visits by Chinese and Russian officials indicate that Delhi is prepared to counter anti-India economic pressure from the US.

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