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T20 WC 2026: India's Semifinal Scenario Explained After West Indies' Massive Win Over ZIM
Cricket Gully | February 24, 2026 7:39 AM CST

The match between West Indies and Zimbabwe at Super 8 in Mumbai resulted in a huge win for West Indies, which reduced the chances of the Indian team qualifying for the semifinals of the T20 World Cup 2026.

 

The Indian team is already under pressure due to their defeat at the hands of South Africa. The huge win for West Indies has made it even more difficult for the Indian team to qualify for the tournament due to the Net Run Rate (NRR).

 

West Indies scored 254/6, thanks to Shimron Hetmyer's 85 off 34 balls and Rovman Powell's quick fifty. Gudakesh Motie took four wickets as his team bowled out the entire Zimbabwean batting lineup for 147 runs.

 

The next match for the Indian team will be against Zimbabwe at Chennai on Wednesday. The Indian team will face West Indies at Ahmedabad on Wednesday, as South Africa will play against West Indies. The result of the match will decide whether the Indian team can qualify for the tournament or not.

 

Also Read | T20 World Cup 2026: India’s T20I Record Against Zimbabwe and West Indies

 

Scenario 1: India Win Both Matches

 

India will conclude the tournament with four points from three matches if they win both matches against Zimbabwe and West Indies.

 

If South Africa win all their matches in the Super 8 rounds, then both South Africa and India will qualify for the semifinals.

 

However, if South Africa loses to West Indies, SA, WI and IND will end in a situation where all three teams will have four points, leading to a tie. In this case, NRR will be used to determine the top two teams.

 

The door will be open for India and West Indies if South Africa loses their remaining two matches.

 

Also Read | Why T20Is Were Removed from SA vs ENG Series? See Full South Africa 2026–27 Home Fixtures

 

Scenario 2: India Win Only One Match

 

The situation is likely to become more complex for India as they manage to win only one out of their last two matches.

 

India have to win against West Indies to stay in the competition. South Africa will win both their matches, and hence, there will be three teams with two points. The semifinal qualification will be based on NRR.

 

If South Africa lose both their matches and India do not win both their matches, then India will be out of the tournament.

 

India have to perform well in their upcoming matches against Zimbabwe in Chennai and West Indies in Kolkata. They have to register significant wins and hope that certain results go in their favor.

 

The way to the semifinals is still open, but teams have to perform their matches without committing any errors.


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