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News India Live, Digital Desk: After Sheikh Hasina’s removal from power, Bangladesh is standing at its biggest electoral turning point. A major opinion poll (EASD survey) released before the voting on 12 February 2026 has made it clear which way the public is inclined. While Tariq Rahman’s party BNP has emerged as the main contender, big revelations have also been made on the status of ‘anti-India’ fundamentalist groups. Survey results: Who is at the forefront? According to the latest survey released in Dhaka, this time the key to power in Bangladesh seems to be in the hands of Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP): Dominance of BNP: In the survey, 66.3% voters have declared BNP as their first choice. It is estimated that the BNP led alliance can win 208 seats out of 300. Preference of women voters: Interestingly, 71.1% women voters have supported Tariq Rahman’s party. Regional hold: BNP is getting more than 75% support in areas like Chattogram and Sylhet. What is the condition of ‘anti-India’ factions and fundamentalists? The biggest concern for India in the elections is fundamentalists and India. The survey has also clarified the situation regarding the opposition groups: Jamaat-e-Islami’s position: The anti-India group led by Shafiqur Rehman and the Jamaat-led 11-party alliance is expected to get only 46 seats. However, in areas like Barishal and Khulna, their condition is better (about 18%) compared to other areas. Awami League is out: Due to the ban on Sheikh Hasina’s party Awami League, it is out of this election, which is directly benefiting the opposition parties. Will the equation change for India? ‘Anti-India’ rhetoric has been intense before the elections, but survey data shows that mainstream voters (especially youth and women) rather than fundamentalism. Giving importance to political stability. India is hoping to ‘reset’ bilateral relations with the new government, although the election performance of Jamaat and other radical forces will be a key concern for India’s security concerns.